Wicked For Good Set to Eclipse the First Film's Opening Weekend Box Office
Wicked: For Good is shaping up for a blockbuster bow in U.S. theaters next month, with early forecasts suggesting it could beat the first movie’s opening weekend.
Wicked: For Good is creeping up on release, and the early box office read is: big. Like, possibly bigger-than-the-first-one big.
What this one is
Universal is back in Oz next month with Wicked: For Good, the sequel to 2024's Wicked and essentially the second act of the Stephen Schwartz and Winnie Holzman Broadway musical. Jon M. Chu stays in the director chair, and Ariana Grande and Cynthia Erivo return as Glinda Upland and Elphaba Thropp.
The early numbers
Per Deadline, tracking has For Good heading north of $100 million on opening weekend, specifically in the $112-115 million range. That would put it right in line with the first Wicked, which opened to $112.5 million domestically. The difference this time: the playing field looks friendlier.
Why the sequel might outpace the first
The first movie had real competition. It opened the same day as Gladiator 2 and then ran headfirst into Moana 2 a few days later. For Good, meanwhile, is landing in a much less crowded lane. On its opening weekend, the only other nationwide releases are Sisu: Road to Revenge and Rental Family. Zootopia 2 does show up on November 26, but that is the following week. Translation: these projections could easily tighten upward as we get closer.
If it hits $115 million, where does that rank?
If For Good reaches the top end of tracking, it would slot in as 2025's fifth-biggest opening weekend. Here is where it would land among the year-to-date leaders:
- A Minecraft Movie - $162.6 million
- Lilo & Stitch - $146 million
- Jurassic World Rebirth - $92 million three-day, but $147.8 million across its five-day launch since it opened on a Wednesday
- Superman - $125 million
- The Fantastic Four: First Steps - $117.6 million
- Wicked: For Good - would be $115 million if it hits the current high end of tracking
Yes, that Jurassic World Rebirth wrinkle is one of those box office bookkeeping quirks: the three-day number is the apples-to-apples stat, but studios will tout that five-day total when they have it.
When you can see it
Wicked: For Good opens in the United States on November 21, 2025.
Tracking via Deadline; originally flagged by Brandon Schreur at SuperHeroHype.