Baldur's Gate Is HBO's New Game of Thrones, But There's One Big Red Flag
HBO’s next fantasy epic is already battling the long shadow of Game of Thrones—amid early red flags that hint at trouble ahead.
HBO wants back on the fantasy throne, and the next challenger is a Baldur's Gate series. If you were building a TV show in a lab to hook gamers and fantasy diehards, this world would be on the shortlist: sprawling cities, messy politics, an armory of weird magic, and more unforgettable characters than most franchises know what to do with.
What HBO is actually making
This is a Dungeons & Dragons universe play, with a modern tailwind: Baldur's Gate 3 landed in 2023 and steamrolled expectations. The game became one of those rare cultural moments where everyone has a different story to tell because there are so many paths, outcomes, and character arcs. That kind of depth is catnip for serialized TV. It is also a minefield if you fumble the adaptation.
The big swing: Craig Mazin is running it
Craig Mazin is steering the show. On the plus side, he has receipts. Chernobyl was bruising, meticulous drama. The Last of Us season 1 translated a beloved game into prestige TV without losing its pulse. He has a background in comedy, too, which matters because Baldur's Gate lives on tonal whiplash: grim one minute, chaotic goblin nonsense the next.
The wrinkle: season 2 of The Last of Us sparked a noticeably rougher reception, the kind that happens when fans feel the adaptation veering away from what they value in the source. Some changes were applauded (giving minor characters more room to breathe), but you could feel the friction.
Here is the weird part
Mazin is not adapting Baldur's Gate 3. He is essentially writing the next chapter — what could feel like Baldur's Gate 4 — for television. That is unusual. BG3 does not end in a single, clean lane; it splinters into the consequences of your choices. There is no universally accepted canon to pick up from, which means the show has to choose a path and make it feel inevitable. Easy job? No. Ambitious play? Definitely.
Where Larian Studios fits in (or doesn’t)
Larian Studios, the team that built BG3, is stepping back from the franchise and is not directly involved in the series. That sounds dire, but there is at least a line of communication. Mazin reached out, and the developers shared thoughts about what the world can support after the game’s events. Creative control still sits with the show.
'The endings of BG3 were created so they could serve as narrative soil for new adventures. There’s plenty of directions they could go.'
That is Swen Vincke, the game’s director, laying out the runway. Helpful, sure. An ongoing partnership? No — more like a thoughtful handoff.
Why this could work — and why it could wobble
Fantasy TV has had a bumpy decade trying to chase Game of Thrones. The Witcher caught fire, then cooled. The Rings of Power landed with mixed reception. Even Thrones itself stumbled at the finish line. On the flip side, sticking close to what fans love tends to pay off: Fallout hit big, Arcane reset the bar for animated worldbuilding, and The Last of Us season 1 mostly nailed the balance.
- No single, canonical BG3 ending to springboard from
- Larian not in the writer’s room, just consulted
- Huge ensemble, politics, and lore to wrangle without collapsing under the weight
- Recent fantasy series have struggled to win broad, lasting enthusiasm
- Players expect their choices to matter; TV can’t mirror thousands of permutations
The read, for now
On paper, this is a dream matchup: HBO scale, a showrunner who can juggle heartbreak and hilarity, and a universe built to binge. The challenge is threading a brand-new story through a fanbase that just spent hundreds of hours crafting their own. If Mazin picks a lane that feels true and carves out a clean canon, this could soar. If it feels like a shrug at what made BG3 special, expect turbulence.
I’m cautiously optimistic, emphasis on cautious. Your move, Candlekeep.
Curious where you land: pumped for a fresh tale in the Gate, or bracing for a long rest?